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Niger Likely To Experience A Moderate Role Increase For Extra-Government Non-State Actors Over Next Five Years2_EG.jpg


Executive Summary:
Due to minimal amounts of stability, low levels of democracy and corruption, and a significant ease of conducting business, it is likely that extra-government non-state actors (NSAs), such as the Tuareg ethnic group, currently play the most Moderate_Inc.jpginfluential but minimal role within Niger (represented by its score of 2 on the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum). However, within the next five years, it is likely that the role of NSAs will increase to a moderate level within Niger. This is primarily due to continued efforts by the government to control corruption, increasing opportunities for businesses to extract natural resources, and the Tuareg ethnic group’s resurrection as an active player within governmental and business affairs.

Analytic Confidence: 6
Source Reliability: 8

Discussion:



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Overall Score

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Democracy Var.

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Doing Bus. Var.

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Corruption Var.

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Failed States Var.

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Geo Dis- NGOs

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Geo Dis- Bus.

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Geo Dis- Ter Grps.